All Sales Volume Is Not Created Equal
By Albert D. Bates
Sales solve all problems. Wait, make that sales solve most problems. Actually, sales solve a lot of problems, but create a lot more. The understanding that nothing happens until somebody sells something causes otherwise rational individuals to undertake some bizarre sales-generating activities. It is enough to give sales a bad name.
Good Sales Versus Bad Sales
Just as there is good and bad cholesterol, there are good and bad
sales, depending upon the impact that the sale has on expenses.
More than anything else, this expense impact is dependent upon whether
the firm generates sales from existing customers and products or
new ones.
Good SalesAny form of sales growth that can
be achieved without a commensurate increase in expenses. The most
notable examples are inflation (which automatically increases sales),
greater penetration of existing accounts and raising the firm's
fill rate (even though carrying more inventory may be required).
Bad SalesAny sales growth that requires a significant
expense increase to generate the sales growth. This includes targeting
new customers, expansion of the product line by adding more SKUs
or product categories, and opening new branches.
The exhibit below reviews the income statement for a typical PEI
member. It shows the firm in its current state and reviews two very
different sales growth scenarios.
The
Impact of a 5% Sales Increase
Under Two Assumptions Regarding Payroll |
| Dollar Performance |
Current
Results |
|
Scenario 1 |
|
Scenario 2 |
|
| Net Sales |
$6,000,000 |
|
$6,300,000 |
|
$6,300,000 |
|
| Cost of Goods Sold |
4,380,000 |
|
4,599,000 |
|
4,599,000 |
|
| Gross Margin |
1,620,000 |
|
1,701,000 |
|
1,701,000 |
|
| Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll and
Fringe Benefits |
900,000 |
|
927,000 |
|
963,000 |
|
| All Other
Expenses |
600,000 |
|
630,000 |
|
630,000 |
|
| Total Expenses |
1,500,000 |
|
1,557,000 |
|
1,593,000 |
|
| Profit Before Taxes |
$120,000 |
|
$144,000 |
|
$108,000 |
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Percent of Sales Performance |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Net Sales |
100.0 |
% |
100.0 |
% |
100.0 |
% |
| Cost of Goods Sold |
73.0 |
|
73.0 |
|
73.0 |
|
| Gross Margin |
27.0 |
|
27.0 |
|
27.0 |
|
| Expenses |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Payroll and
Fringe Benefits |
15.0 |
|
14.7 |
|
15.3 |
|
| All Other
Expenses |
10.0 |
|
10.0 |
|
10.0 |
|
| Total Expenses |
25.0 |
|
24.7 |
|
25.3 |
|
| Profit Before Taxes |
2.0 |
% |
2.3 |
% |
1.7 |
% |
|
In both scenarios, sales have increased by 5%. This sales growth figure could be the result of any combination of organic growth, inflation, additional products or branches, or any other activity that generates more sales volume. The exhibit is saying nothing about the source of the sales growth as of yet.
In both scenarios, the gross margin percentage has held constant at 27% of sales. The firm continues to buy and sell items at the same relative price points as it did before. The result is that both cost of goods sold and gross margin increase at the same 5% rate at which sales increase.
Further, non-payroll expenses have also increased by 5% in both scenarios. This is a correct assumption regarding the long-term trend in non-payroll expenses. It is tenuous in the short run, but is useful in illustrating the concept.
The real key in the exhibit is the extent to which payroll (and associated fringe benefits) has to grow to support the increase in sales. In Scenario 1, sales have increased by 5% while payroll and fringe benefits have increased by an arbitrary 3%. There is a 2.0 percentage point positive difference between the two growth rates. The firm has engaged in what is commonly called expense leveraging, at least with regard to payroll.
The result is that pre-tax profits increase by 20%, from $120,000 to $144,000. It is a classic example of using sales to leverage expenses. Profits are increased even while payroll is rising at a modest rate. Both the company and its employees are benefiting from the sales growth.
Conversely, the second scenario in the exhibit presents the opposite
situation. Sales continue to grow at the same 5% rate, but payroll
expenses increase by an equally arbitrary 7%. The sad result is
this increase in sales actually reduces profits.
The exhibit supports two major inferences, one of them counter-intuitive,
the other intuitive to the point of being self-evident. Both of
the conclusions need to be an essential part of management's thinking
about profitability.
First, the counter-intuitive conclusion: Slow sales growth can be highly profitable. Sales growth of only 5% has the potential to deliver 20% profit growth if expenses can be controlled. In far too many distribution firms, a plan to produce both a low level of sales growth and improved profits would be met with derision, though. Real salespeople increase their sales at double-digit rates. To achieve anything less is to admit failure.
Second, the self-evident conclusion: Sales and expenses must be planned jointly. Too often they are not. In the two scenarios, the sales manager will receive either accolades or brickbats for delivering the same 5% sales growth. This is because the 5% growth rate that was achieved either did (accolades) or did not (brickbats) meet the sales goal. The sales goal is set in isolation without concern as to the expenses required to meet the goal.
What needs to be brought into the calculation is whether the sales came from high-expense activities or low-expense activities. The sales plan must move beyond the amount of sales and also look at the source. It is the difference between profits going up and profits going down.
Targeting Good Sales
From a financial standpoint, the figures in the exhibit are exciting.
They provide an absolute and unerring sense of direction for the
firm. From a motivational perspective, though, the numbers are decidedly
unexciting. In fact, bad sales growth is probably more exciting
than good sales growth. Two challenges have to be dealt with in
motivating employees to emphasize good sales over bad.
Wanting What We Don't HaveThe grass is always
greener on the other side of the fence. Adding customers implies
the firm is moving forward. It is a natural progression in life.
Penetrating existing accounts is boring. The value of customer penetration
needs to be explained.
Degree of DifficultyGenerating sales from new
accounts is probably more difficult than generating additional sales
from existing ones. However, it is seldom viewed that way. After
all, customers are already buying everything they want
from us. Trying to generate incremental sales from existing accounts
seems somewhat self-defeating. This negative perspective must be
defeated.
The reality is that selling existing products to existing customers is always the most effective way to engage in expense leveraging. It needs to be given a much greater priority in sales planning. New opportunities should not be overlooked, but they should be balanced with efforts to grow organically.
Moving Forward
In the future, sales planning must begin to incorporate the idea
of driving additional sales from the base of customers and products
already in place. That must be done not only from a financial perspective,
but from a sales management perspective.
|